Sowchos 79
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (13 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1059 | 40% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1140 | 39% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1134 | 62% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 948 | 1151 | 24% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 1130 | 982 | 70% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
| 1151 | 1033 | 66% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1143 | 1107 | 55% | 2013-10-19 | Won |
| 1038 | 957 | 61% | 2011-07-27 | Won |
| 1015 | 1059 | 44% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 1117 | 1132 | 48% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 971 | 1167 | 24% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1022 | 68% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1083.7 vs 1071.3 has a 51.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).