Unplanned Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 995 | 52% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2014-01-09 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1310 | 43% | 2013-08-30 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1098 | 45% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2010-02-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 871 | 70% | 2009-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1088.1 has a 42.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).