Unplanned Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 998 | 71% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1025 | 995 | 54% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2014-01-09 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1313 | 43% | 2013-08-30 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1100 | 45% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 871 | 1100 | 21% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1086 | 51% | 2010-02-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 871 | 66% | 2009-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044.6 vs 1083.1 has a 44.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).