Speed Over Caution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2024-12-16 | Lost |
| 843 | 1189 | 12% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 927 | 1014 | 38% | 2021-02-12 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1029 | 49% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1165 | 31% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1078 | 43% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1157 | 47% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1056 | 46% | 2019-05-25 | Lost |
| 1023 | 977 | 57% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1124 | 40% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 967 | 1131 | 28% | 2015-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1131 | 28% | 2015-02-26 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1131 | 44% | 2015-02-22 | Lost |
| 999 | 941 | 58% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1163 | 34% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1125 | 1142 | 48% | 2012-04-05 | Lost |
| 938 | 1100 | 28% | 2011-04-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 1011 | 59% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2010-12-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 1092 | 59% | 2010-03-26 | Won |
| 999 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1019.6 vs 1079.5 has a 41.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).