Speed Over Caution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2024-12-16 | Lost |
| 844 | 1177 | 13% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 903 | 1013 | 35% | 2021-02-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1030 | 46% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 973 | 1138 | 28% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1165 | 32% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1065 | 46% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1121 | 52% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1056 | 47% | 2019-05-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 978 | 54% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 880 | 1216 | 13% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1138 | 39% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 985 | 1125 | 31% | 2015-03-08 | Lost |
| 985 | 1125 | 31% | 2015-02-26 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1125 | 42% | 2015-02-22 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1169 | 34% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1071 | 44% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1125 | 1142 | 48% | 2012-04-05 | Lost |
| 931 | 1100 | 27% | 2011-04-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1016 | 59% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2010-12-27 | Won |
| 1174 | 1091 | 62% | 2010-03-26 | Won |
| 1057 | 1186 | 32% | 2010-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1084.5 has a 41.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).