Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (6 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Norwegian / Swedish): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2025-04-07 | Won |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1057 | 1084 | 46% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1036 | 49% | 2017-04-20 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1116 | 46% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2009-09-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1090 has a 43.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).