Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Norwegian / Swedish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1066 | 47% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1083 | 49% | 2025-04-07 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1057 | 1082 | 46% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1036 | 49% | 2017-04-20 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1064 | 49% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 994 | 1182 | 25% | 2009-09-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1074.7 has a 44.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).