Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Norwegian / Swedish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1066 | 53% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1039 | 58% | 2025-04-07 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1056 | 1029 | 54% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1003 | 54% | 2017-04-20 | Lost |
| 994 | 994 | 50% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 1062 | 1172 | 35% | 2009-09-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1044.7 has a 50.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).