Tisza Tease
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (17 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 975 | 51% | 2025-07-04 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1055 | 61% | 2023-04-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 949 | 65% | 2023-03-31 | Won |
| 1176 | 1176 | 50% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1176 | 28% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1078 | 959 | 66% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 896 | 1232 | 13% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1184 | 989 | 75% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1192 | 27% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
| 1235 | 1048 | 75% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1127 | 42% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1130 | 46% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1189 | 43% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 1103 | 1219 | 34% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1117 | 45% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 1055 | 949 | 65% | 2003-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1091.1 vs 1091.2 has a 49.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).