Tisza Tease
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (18 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 999 | 43% | 2025-07-04 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1056 | 66% | 2023-04-01 | Won |
| 1056 | 948 | 65% | 2023-03-31 | Won |
| 1243 | 1243 | 50% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 927 | 1243 | 14% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1041 | 957 | 62% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 900 | 1220 | 14% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1076 | 995 | 61% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1202 | 25% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
| 1174 | 1066 | 65% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 1128 | 40% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1132 | 49% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1188 | 43% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 1102 | 1342 | 20% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1342 | 20% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1155 | 50% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1060 | 66% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 1056 | 948 | 65% | 2003-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1081.5 vs 1123.6 has a 43.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).