One More Hedgerow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 982 | 54% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2021-12-26 | Won |
| 1144 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-11-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1181 | 26% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
| 885 | 873 | 52% | 2020-08-06 | Won |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1004 | 989 | 52% | 2018-05-31 | Lost |
| 989 | 1004 | 48% | 2018-05-31 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1181 | 27% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 877 | 1181 | 15% | 2017-11-22 | Lost |
| 877 | 1181 | 15% | 2017-07-20 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1113 | 60% | 2015-09-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 962 | 1038 | 39% | 2014-08-07 | Won |
| 1085 | 972 | 66% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 1181 | 1004 | 73% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1181 | 27% | 2012-12-05 | Won |
| 917 | 994 | 39% | 2012-01-04 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1023 | 52% | 2010-12-22 | Won |
| 913 | 1216 | 15% | 2010-02-13 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1020.3 vs 1062.2 has a 44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).