300
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (9 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (GMD): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1112 | 52% | 2025-05-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1098 | 52% | 2023-07-26 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1108 | 40% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 998 | 1108 | 35% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1141 | 35% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
| 1024 | 990 | 55% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1062 | 45% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1196 | 1014 | 74% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.2 vs 1038.4 has a 55.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).