French Toast and Bacon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (33 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (American): 67
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1175 | 1030 | 70% | 2023-08-18 | Won |
987 | 1027 | 44% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
1012 | 1010 | 50% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
920 | 941 | 47% | 2022-08-01 | Lost |
994 | 1266 | 17% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2020-12-12 | Won |
1284 | 1146 | 69% | 2020-01-05 | Won |
1198 | 1276 | 39% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
938 | 1026 | 38% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
1083 | 1026 | 58% | 2019-04-30 | Won |
1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2019-04-13 | Lost |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
1046 | 1030 | 52% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
1013 | 1071 | 42% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
905 | 1013 | 35% | 2017-12-23 | Lost |
895 | 977 | 38% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2016-02-11 | Lost |
1002 | 982 | 53% | 2016-02-06 | Won |
1113 | 1095 | 53% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2014-10-13 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
1192 | 1008 | 74% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
1167 | 1115 | 57% | 2013-04-16 | Won |
988 | 1123 | 31% | 2011-04-20 | Won |
1068 | 1087 | 47% | 2011-04-10 | Won |
905 | 1090 | 26% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
905 | 1108 | 24% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
1093 | 1062 | 54% | 2010-03-30 | Lost |
1040 | 1043 | 50% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1078.8 has a 44.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).