French Toast and Bacon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1068 | 37% | 2025-10-05 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1243 | 25% | 2025-08-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2025-08-15 | Won |
| 1014 | 1051 | 45% | 2025-08-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 1057 | 46% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1125 | 42% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1045 | 77% | 2023-08-18 | Won |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1009 | 45% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2022-08-01 | Lost |
| 950 | 1243 | 16% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2020-12-12 | Won |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2020-01-05 | Won |
| 1198 | 1217 | 47% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 945 | 1026 | 39% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1284 | 28% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1026 | 59% | 2019-04-30 | Won |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2019-04-13 | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1081 | 45% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 1026 | 887 | 69% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 893 | 1026 | 32% | 2017-12-23 | Lost |
| 897 | 959 | 41% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2016-02-11 | Lost |
| 992 | 982 | 51% | 2016-02-06 | Won |
| 1172 | 978 | 75% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1116 | 39% | 2014-10-13 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1117 | 61% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1177 | 1107 | 60% | 2013-04-16 | Won |
| 1125 | 1068 | 58% | 2011-07-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2011-04-20 | Won |
| 1066 | 1024 | 56% | 2011-04-10 | Won |
| 1068 | 1125 | 42% | 2011-02-13 | Lost |
| 905 | 1103 | 24% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 901 | 1058 | 29% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1041 | 65% | 2010-05-14 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2010-04-06 | Won |
| 1015 | 1105 | 37% | 2010-03-30 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1027 | 52% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1070.6 has a 47.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).