French Toast and Bacon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1011 | 65% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1081 | 52% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1046 | 77% | 2023-08-18 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1010 | 51% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 934 | 1009 | 39% | 2022-08-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 1243 | 13% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2020-12-12 | Won |
| 1219 | 1154 | 59% | 2020-01-05 | Won |
| 1248 | 1219 | 54% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1279 | 33% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 944 | 1009 | 41% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1009 | 60% | 2019-04-30 | Won |
| 1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2019-04-13 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1084 | 45% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 903 | 878 | 54% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 892 | 903 | 48% | 2017-12-23 | Lost |
| 896 | 958 | 41% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2016-02-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 982 | 52% | 2016-02-06 | Won |
| 1113 | 971 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2014-10-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1058 | 51% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1178 | 1094 | 62% | 2013-04-16 | Won |
| 987 | 1123 | 31% | 2011-04-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1089 | 47% | 2011-04-10 | Won |
| 905 | 1087 | 26% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1140 | 21% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1116 | 56% | 2010-05-14 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1031 | 47% | 2010-03-30 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1040 | 50% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1077.4 has a 44.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).