French Toast and Bacon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 159 (46 on the archive and 113 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (American): 86
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2026-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2026-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2025-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1226 | 26% | 2025-08-15 | | Won |
| 1195 | 979 | 78% | 2025-08-15 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-08-15 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1013 | 60% | 2025-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1125 | 43% | 2024-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1291 | 1045 | 80% | 2023-08-18 | | Won |
| 1113 | 1001 | 66% | 2023-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2023-01-06 | | Won |
| 944 | 1028 | 38% | 2022-08-01 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-01-03 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2020-12-12 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1111 | 65% | 2020-01-05 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1218 | 38% | 2020-01-04 | | Lost |
| 955 | 997 | 44% | 2019-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2019-06-08 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2019-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 997 | 63% | 2019-04-30 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-04-13 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2018-08-15 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2018-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-04-26 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-01-16 | | Won |
| 893 | 966 | 40% | 2017-12-23 | | Lost |
| 898 | 959 | 41% | 2017-08-05 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2016-02-11 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2016-02-06 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2014-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2014-10-06 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2014-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2014-04-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2013-04-16 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1074 | 57% | 2011-07-01 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2011-04-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2011-04-10 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1125 | 43% | 2011-02-13 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1103 | 24% | 2011-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1109 | 35% | 2010-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2010-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1023 | 65% | 2010-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2010-04-06 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1176 | 28% | 2010-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2010-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1052.9 has a 49.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).