Claws of the Sparrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 13
Defender wins (Australian/Dutch): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1052 | 49% | 2026-04-17 | Won |
| 964 | 1052 | 38% | 2025-11-04 | Lost |
| 1083 | 968 | 66% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2021-05-28 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2021-05-28 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1290 | 46% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1103 vs 1072.7 has a 54.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).