Claws of the Sparrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Japanese): 3
Defender wins (Australian/Dutch): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2026-04-17 | | Won |
| 951 | 1044 | 37% | 2025-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2023-03-19 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1044 | 58% | 2021-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2012-10-06 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1072.5 vs 1014 has a 58.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).