Kachin Rangers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (23 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American/Kachin): 35
Defender wins (Japanese): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1120 | 32% | 2026-04-26 | | Lost |
| 952 | 921 | 54% | 2025-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 952 | 75% | 2024-03-03 | | Won |
| 997 | 873 | 67% | 2023-11-27 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1040 | 35% | 2021-10-20 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2020-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2020-11-11 | | Won |
| 1216 | 1030 | 74% | 2020-10-04 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1231 | 22% | 2020-07-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2020-07-02 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1054 | 36% | 2020-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1095 | 55% | 2020-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1329 | 1242 | 62% | 2016-07-07 | | Won |
| 1132 | 891 | 80% | 2015-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2015-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1071 | 41% | 2014-03-18 | | Won |
| 940 | 1033 | 37% | 2013-06-22 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-06-19 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-02-28 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1329 | 28% | 2010-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1144 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1067.7 vs 1069.3 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).