San Manuel Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (6 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 935 | 966 | 46% | 2026-02-17 | | Won |
| 952 | 1133 | 26% | 2024-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2024-03-17 | | Tied |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2022-10-16 | | Won |
| 1187 | 1044 | 69% | 2022-03-30 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2010-06-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1046.2 has a 49.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).