Birds of Prey
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (9 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 30
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 852 | 1021 | 27% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 809 | 873 | 41% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 956 | 909 | 57% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1292 | 36% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1086 | 998 | 62% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1096 | 42% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1107 | 46% | 2014-12-21 | Lost |
| 890 | 951 | 41% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 976.7 vs 1017.3 has a 44.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).