Birds of Prey
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (9 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 30
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1017 | 889 | 68% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 956 | 951 | 51% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1292 | 37% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1106 | 927 | 74% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1096 | 42% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1002 | 59% | 2014-12-21 | Lost |
| 890 | 951 | 41% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1010.6 vs 1006.2 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).