Birds of Prey
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (8 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 30
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 880 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 809 | 889 | 39% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 956 | 903 | 58% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1293 | 40% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1087 | 952 | 69% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1094 | 42% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 889 | 951 | 41% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 972.8 vs 999.8 has a 46.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).