An Uncommon Occurrence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (11 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 63
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 912 | 64% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
762 | 1201 | 7% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
1050 | 1153 | 36% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
1050 | 900 | 70% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
1201 | 954 | 81% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
899 | 863 | 55% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
1093 | 975 | 66% | 2012-12-15 | Lost |
1010 | 976 | 55% | 2012-03-22 | Lost |
987 | 1133 | 30% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
987 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1003.2 vs 996.5 has a 50.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).