An Uncommon Occurrence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (11 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 63
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 866 | 65% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 743 | 1257 | 5% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1127 | 36% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1025 | 903 | 67% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1257 | 947 | 86% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 927 | 864 | 59% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 1096 | 975 | 67% | 2012-12-15 | Lost |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2012-03-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 1133 | 30% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
| 986 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1004.5 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).