The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (21 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 36
Defender wins (British): 35
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-09 | Lost |
| 756 | 986 | 21% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1173 | 1097 | 61% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 976 | 69% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1182 | 1192 | 49% | 2016-04-15 | Won |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2015-01-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1211 | 40% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1044 | 47% | 2013-04-20 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1008 | 66% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1140 | 883 | 81% | 2012-04-28 | Won |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 928 | 1010 | 38% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1036 | 59% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1168 | 62% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1168 | 62% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1255 | 25% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1074 vs 1072.6 has a 50.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).