The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (21 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (British): 35
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2023-10-09 | Lost |
| 740 | 986 | 20% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1115 | 1105 | 51% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1113 | 976 | 69% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1213 | 1191 | 53% | 2016-04-15 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2015-01-04 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1206 | 42% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1010 | 977 | 55% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1074 | 1044 | 54% | 2013-04-20 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1007 | 64% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1152 | 882 | 83% | 2012-04-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 1134 | 45% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 1010 | 48% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1037 | 53% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1169 | 70% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1169 | 70% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 1043 | 1072 | 46% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1071.5 vs 1057.4 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).