The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (22 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (British): 38
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2026-05-03 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2023-10-09 | Lost |
| 698 | 989 | 16% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1119 | 1056 | 59% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1134 | 974 | 72% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1065 | 1196 | 32% | 2016-04-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2015-01-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1212 | 40% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 999 | 980 | 53% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1084 | 1044 | 56% | 2013-04-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1008 | 66% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1141 | 883 | 82% | 2012-04-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 1133 | 35% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 965 | 1002 | 45% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1031 | 66% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1170 | 57% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1170 | 57% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1062.1 has a 49.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).