Cellar Dwellers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (9 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2026-01-06 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1223 | 29% | 2022-05-07 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-06-20 | Lost |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2012-04-16 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2011-02-15 | Won |
| 1208 | 1083 | 67% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1135 | 32% | 2010-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1083.6 vs 1065.1 has a 52.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).