A Midnight Clear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 990 | 62% | 2026-06-23 | Won |
| 1143 | 1204 | 41% | 2026-06-10 | Won |
| 1263 | 1024 | 80% | 2025-03-25 | Won |
| 1041 | 1143 | 36% | 2021-12-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2021-03-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 886 | 75% | 2019-04-11 | Tied |
| 1107 | 1104 | 50% | 2017-08-04 | Tied |
| 1121 | 1126 | 49% | 2012-04-05 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1080 | 79% | 2011-01-02 | Won |
| 1060 | 1174 | 34% | 2010-09-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1123.7 vs 1073.9 has a 57.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).