The Riley Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (10 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2025-02-14 | A | Lost |
| 829 | 1081 | 19% | 2015-09-11 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2013-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | 2013-11-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2013-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2012-02-18 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1219 | 21% | 2011-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1146 | 30% | 2011-02-16 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1028 | 60% | 2010-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-08-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1009.4 vs 1053.3 has a 43.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).