Satisfaction and Confidence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 990 | 947 | 56% | 2025-05-01 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 939 | 995 | 42% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 942 | 1110 | 28% | 2020-11-09 | Lost |
| 947 | 1086 | 31% | 2019-07-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 990 | 53% | 2018-07-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 990 | 53% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 947 | 61% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1022 | 947 | 61% | 2018-02-27 | Won |
| 1096 | 1111 | 48% | 2013-07-14 | Tied |
| 884 | 1216 | 13% | 2011-11-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1194 | 44% | 2010-08-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1015.1 vs 1060.3 has a 43.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).