Scorpions in a Bottle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-05-28 | | Won |
| 994 | 1435 | 7% | 2015-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 875 | 76% | 2014-12-03 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1019 | 56% | 2011-05-23 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1130 | 68% | 2011-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1317 | 20% | 2010-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2010-10-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1110.7 vs 1110.9 has a 49.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).