Messervy's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (20 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 43
Defender wins (Italian): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1014 | 1360 | 12% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
1300 | 1093 | 77% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
1000 | 1093 | 37% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
1031 | 1026 | 51% | 2022-07-09 | Lost |
971 | 971 | 50% | 2022-02-12 | Won |
1020 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
861 | 1104 | 20% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
963 | 1108 | 30% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
1007 | 1070 | 41% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1035 | 1043 | 49% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
948 | 1137 | 25% | 2013-08-18 | Lost |
1111 | 1111 | 50% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
920 | 1007 | 38% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
958 | 1008 | 43% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
1073 | 1058 | 52% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
895 | 937 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
748 | 958 | 23% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
955 | 1088 | 32% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 991.7 vs 1061.6 has a 40.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).