Messervy's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (Italian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1416 | 10% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 977 | 934 | 56% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1215 | 1023 | 75% | 2022-07-09 | Lost |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2022-02-12 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1099 | 37% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 861 | 1203 | 12% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
| 1111 | 937 | 73% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1061 | 1095 | 45% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1115 | 35% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1035 | 1066 | 46% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
| 956 | 1028 | 40% | 2013-08-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 918 | 1065 | 30% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 927 | 996 | 40% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1078 | 50% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1123 | 46% | 2011-05-14 | Lost |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 748 | 927 | 26% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1051 | 36% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1008.5 vs 1058.4 has a 42.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).