Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (18 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1060 | 62% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1051 | 58% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 925 | 1060 | 31% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 824 | 998 | 27% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1079 | 909 | 73% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1219 | 1189 | 54% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2013-04-09 | Lost |
| 996 | 1057 | 41% | 2012-06-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2011-08-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 1019 | 50% | 2011-06-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2011-02-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1074.9 has a 47.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).