Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
934 | 989 | 42% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
824 | 990 | 28% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
1021 | 996 | 54% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
1285 | 1146 | 69% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
1095 | 1119 | 47% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
1133 | 1172 | 44% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
986 | 1051 | 41% | 2012-06-28 | Won |
1127 | 1082 | 56% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-08-15 | Won |
1019 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-06-27 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1059.6 has a 48.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).