Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 187 (51 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 97
Defender wins (Russian): 90
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 952 | 52% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 964 | 1230 | 18% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 959 | 1080 | 33% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 952 | 1028 | 39% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 915 | 1208 | 16% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1168 | 1202 | 45% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1051 | 40% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
| 998 | 1025 | 46% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 992 | 1218 | 21% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1101 | 1107 | 49% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 992 | 1133 | 31% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 780 | 998 | 22% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1089 | 42% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1003 | 55% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1217 | 869 | 88% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
| 746 | 1225 | 6% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1225 | 40% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 984 | 1035 | 43% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1183 | 1113 | 60% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1044 | 65% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1342 | 1144 | 76% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1131 | 35% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
| 1131 | 1025 | 65% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
| 1099 | 1120 | 47% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1129 | 1011 | 66% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1342 | 1185 | 71% | 2013-06-18 | Won |
| 1020 | 968 | 57% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1067 | 50% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 1215 | 972 | 80% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 966 | 936 | 54% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1342 | 25% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1231 | 49% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 907 | 64% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 1231 | 1100 | 68% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 885 | 881 | 51% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 977 | 1108 | 32% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1215 | 30% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1118 | 37% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
| 1223 | 1120 | 64% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1129 | 987 | 69% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 1083.5 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).