Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (51 on the archive and 137 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 97
Defender wins (Russian): 91
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 952 | 52% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 951 | 1230 | 17% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 1080 | 35% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 952 | 1028 | 39% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 912 | 1187 | 17% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 943 | 943 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1168 | 1181 | 48% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
| 976 | 1007 | 46% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1030 | 1218 | 25% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1101 | 1167 | 41% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1030 | 1161 | 32% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 780 | 976 | 24% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1051 | 47% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1031 | 51% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1217 | 869 | 88% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
| 734 | 1184 | 7% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1184 | 45% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1018 | 52% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1183 | 1102 | 61% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1103 | 55% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 1047 | 1044 | 50% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1344 | 1144 | 76% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1084 | 39% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
| 1084 | 1007 | 61% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
| 1099 | 1120 | 47% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1146 | 1011 | 69% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1344 | 1202 | 69% | 2013-06-18 | Won |
| 1020 | 1063 | 44% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 1185 | 972 | 77% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
| 1046 | 960 | 62% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 966 | 936 | 54% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1344 | 25% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1219 | 51% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
| 1008 | 907 | 64% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 1219 | 1100 | 66% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 965 | 880 | 62% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 977 | 1126 | 30% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1185 | 33% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1119 | 37% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
| 1223 | 1120 | 64% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1146 | 987 | 71% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1083.2 has a 47.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).