Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 181 (45 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 96
Defender wins (Russian): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 910 | 63% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 951 | 916 | 55% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 980 | 1089 | 35% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 910 | 1028 | 34% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 924 | 1141 | 22% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1180 | 1105 | 61% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 1155 | 28% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
| 1035 | 1029 | 51% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 938 | 1180 | 20% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1075 | 54% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 938 | 1170 | 21% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 762 | 1035 | 17% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1028 | 47% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1139 | 36% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1219 | 886 | 87% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
| 741 | 1256 | 5% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1256 | 35% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1057 | 1030 | 54% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 982 | 1043 | 41% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 1109 | 39% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
| 1109 | 1029 | 61% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1106 | 49% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1065 | 1011 | 58% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1051 | 41% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 918 | 63% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 1185 | 970 | 78% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
| 1062 | 1056 | 51% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 967 | 936 | 54% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1020 | 78% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1333 | 35% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 928 | 61% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 1333 | 1100 | 79% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 927 | 879 | 57% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 978 | 1151 | 27% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1185 | 27% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
| 1125 | 1106 | 53% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1065 | 987 | 61% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1063.8 has a 46.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).