Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 180 (44 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 91
Defender wins (Russian): 89
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 910 | 63% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 909 | 890 | 53% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 966 | 1044 | 39% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 910 | 1028 | 34% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 940 | 1154 | 23% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1179 | 1107 | 60% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 1156 | 28% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1036 | 47% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
| 1044 | 764 | 83% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 932 | 1204 | 17% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1098 | 1044 | 58% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 932 | 1144 | 23% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 764 | 1044 | 17% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1064 | 47% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1219 | 906 | 86% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
| 747 | 1268 | 5% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1268 | 34% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 1048 | 50% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 995 | 1044 | 43% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1107 | 49% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1060 | 1011 | 57% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1158 | 952 | 77% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
| 1062 | 1056 | 51% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 974 | 936 | 55% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1020 | 78% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1329 | 35% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 928 | 61% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 1329 | 1100 | 79% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 879 | 66% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 978 | 1163 | 26% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
| 1124 | 1107 | 52% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1034.8 vs 1052.3 has a 47.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).