Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 182 (46 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 96
Defender wins (Russian): 86
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 911 | 62% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 944 | 928 | 52% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 980 | 1079 | 36% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 911 | 1028 | 34% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 916 | 1144 | 21% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1183 | 1166 | 52% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 1171 | 26% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1010 | 51% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
| 1013 | 979 | 55% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1020 | 1189 | 27% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1084 | 52% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1020 | 1170 | 30% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 780 | 1013 | 21% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1013 | 49% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1073 | 45% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1217 | 881 | 87% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
| 731 | 1242 | 5% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1242 | 37% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1047 | 1011 | 55% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1139 | 1196 | 42% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 1055 | 1044 | 52% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 979 | 1113 | 32% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
| 1113 | 979 | 68% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1122 | 47% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1078 | 1011 | 60% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1029 | 45% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1039 | 919 | 67% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 1206 | 972 | 79% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
| 1062 | 1056 | 51% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 980 | 936 | 56% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1020 | 78% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1340 | 34% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 927 | 62% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 1340 | 1100 | 80% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 919 | 879 | 56% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 978 | 1110 | 32% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1206 | 28% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
| 1223 | 1122 | 64% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1078 | 987 | 63% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1062.9 has a 47.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).