Guns for St. Barbara
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (17 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 873 | 1050 | 27% | 2026-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1134 | 53% | 2022-07-26 | | Won |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2019-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2019-11-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2018-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1107 | 43% | 2018-02-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2015-02-02 | | Won |
| 1050 | 1038 | 52% | 2015-01-24 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2014-06-15 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2014-05-15 | | Won |
| 917 | 1000 | 38% | 2012-12-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2012-04-09 | | Won |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2011-07-04 | | Won |
| 1120 | 971 | 70% | 2011-05-14 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1218 | 26% | 2011-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2011-01-14 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1012.4 vs 1060.1 has a 43.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).