Contested Settlement
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (27 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 39
Defender wins (Slovakian): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
956 | 1429 | 6% | 2022-08-06 | Lost |
1049 | 1429 | 10% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
881 | 830 | 57% | 2021-09-14 | Won |
880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
920 | 1080 | 28% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
1011 | 1007 | 51% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
1079 | 1063 | 52% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
1040 | 1041 | 50% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
1302 | 1429 | 32% | 2020-08-25 | Lost |
1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
1217 | 1429 | 23% | 2020-01-31 | Lost |
1429 | 1235 | 75% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
881 | 1006 | 33% | 2019-07-04 | Lost |
1002 | 1006 | 49% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
1026 | 1006 | 53% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
1027 | 1013 | 52% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
881 | 1006 | 33% | 2017-11-24 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
959 | 1429 | 6% | 2013-04-01 | Lost |
982 | 982 | 50% | 2012-09-22 | Lost |
1115 | 1014 | 64% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
999 | 999 | 50% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
1043 | 974 | 60% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
1138 | 1216 | 39% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
998 | 1016 | 47% | 2011-06-19 | Won |
1049 | 990 | 58% | 2011-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1103.3 has a 40.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).