Not So Disposed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (17 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (Italian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 878 | 978 | 36% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1180 | 29% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-09-11 | Lost |
| 1065 | 995 | 60% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 878 | 947 | 40% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1082 | 60% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 947 | 61% | 2018-04-30 | Lost |
| 990 | 1008 | 47% | 2018-01-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 911 | 66% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1142 | 34% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 878 | 947 | 40% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1096 | 43% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-01-27 | Lost |
| 985 | 1014 | 46% | 2011-08-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1059.1 has a 50.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).