Not So Disposed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (17 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
865 | 1000 | 31% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
1026 | 1178 | 29% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
1143 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-09-11 | Lost |
1065 | 1041 | 53% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
1427 | 1429 | 50% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
881 | 1017 | 31% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
1131 | 1082 | 57% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
1026 | 1017 | 51% | 2018-04-30 | Lost |
989 | 1021 | 45% | 2018-01-28 | Lost |
998 | 911 | 62% | 2017-10-13 | Lost |
1026 | 1086 | 41% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
881 | 1017 | 31% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
1047 | 1115 | 40% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
1429 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-01-27 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2011-08-04 | Lost |
1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1074.5 has a 47.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).