Close Encounter of the Bad Kind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 4
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-04-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 978 | 949 | 54% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1009 | 64% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1153 | 50% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1059 | 49% | 2011-06-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1052 | 51% | 2011-05-26 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 1031.7 has a 52.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).