An Italian Civil War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Republican): 4
Defender wins (Nationalist): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2023-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1243 | 939 | 85% | 2017-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1220 | 32% | 2014-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1196 | 31% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1196 | 24% | 2013-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2013-03-02 | | Lost |
| 966 | 956 | 51% | 2013-03-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1045.4 vs 1062.6 has a 47.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).