An Italian Civil War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 1003 | 39% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1112 | 47% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1257 | 938 | 86% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1220 | 28% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1152 | 36% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 1152 | 29% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1093 | 54% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1039 | 69% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 927 | 953 | 46% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1066.8 vs 1073.6 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).