Preliminary Move
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 755 | 82% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 1173 | 1040 | 68% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2018-07-04 | Lost |
| 1279 | 975 | 85% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1082 | 34% | 2018-04-02 | Lost |
| 1164 | 971 | 75% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1104 | 40% | 2016-08-30 | Won |
| 1072 | 986 | 62% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 918 | 71% | 2013-04-22 | Won |
| 1067 | 923 | 70% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2012-02-14 | Won |
| 1169 | 1038 | 68% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1092.4 vs 1022.4 has a 59.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).