Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (31 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 53
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1065 | 59% | 2026-07-09 | | Won |
| 843 | 932 | 37% | 2024-12-05 | A | Lost |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-10-11 | | Won |
| 1057 | 991 | 59% | 2021-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2020-09-03 | | Won |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2020-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 960 | 56% | 2020-03-08 | | Lost |
| 979 | 981 | 50% | 2017-11-26 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1001 | 47% | 2017-11-04 | | Won |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2017-07-27 | | Won |
| 981 | 1066 | 38% | 2017-06-24 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2016-08-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2016-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2016-04-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2015-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-07-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2013-05-13 | | Won |
| 928 | 904 | 53% | 2013-05-13 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1145 | 48% | 2013-04-30 | | Won |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2013-03-09 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1253 | 40% | 2013-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2013-03-06 | | Lost |
| 985 | 907 | 61% | 2013-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-02-09 | | Won |
| 1275 | 1141 | 68% | 2012-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2012-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2012-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2012-02-18 | | Won |
| 1126 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2011-10-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1026.9 has a 52.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).