Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 928 | 45% | 2024-07-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1115 | 39% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 964 | 1039 | 39% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
| 1039 | 993 | 57% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 741 | 1210 | 6% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1156 | 37% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1011 | 918 | 63% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1320 | 1247 | 60% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1119 | 1256 | 31% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 978 | 1020 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1151 | 1032 | 66% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 1101 | 49% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1068 | 51% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1153 | 971 | 74% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1142 | 32% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 1063 | 48% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1051 | 916 | 69% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
| 1131 | 1115 | 52% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1333 | 10% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1148 | 59% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1039 | 1152 | 34% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
| 942 | 890 | 57% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1008 | 1144 | 31% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1039 | 52% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1106 | 58% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1138 | 1100 | 55% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 848 | 927 | 39% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
| 998 | 966 | 55% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 1051 | 907 | 70% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1131 | 52% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1110 | 78% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1030 | 61% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
| 1165 | 998 | 72% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1075 | 52% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1059.5 vs 1068.2 has a 48.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).