Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (38 on the archive and 150 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 87
Defender wins (Russian): 100
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
997 | 997 | 50% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
1017 | 1037 | 47% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
804 | 1327 | 5% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
1292 | 1238 | 58% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
1133 | 1160 | 46% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
920 | 929 | 49% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
1115 | 1101 | 52% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
1063 | 1089 | 46% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
1055 | 1028 | 54% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
1204 | 985 | 78% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
1138 | 1176 | 45% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
1008 | 992 | 52% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
1087 | 920 | 72% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
1144 | 1037 | 65% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
976 | 1307 | 13% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
1327 | 1058 | 82% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
1068 | 1024 | 56% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
945 | 887 | 58% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
1009 | 1204 | 25% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
1108 | 1089 | 53% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
1014 | 1063 | 43% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
1153 | 1073 | 61% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
846 | 977 | 32% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
955 | 1097 | 31% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
1087 | 1028 | 58% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
1307 | 1112 | 75% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
1073 | 985 | 62% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
1043 | 1086 | 44% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
1065 | 1062 | 50% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1066.6 vs 1060.8 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).