Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 870 | 928 | 42% | 2024-07-09 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1098 | 42% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 964 | 1039 | 39% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
| 1039 | 993 | 57% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 747 | 1242 | 5% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1189 | 33% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1011 | 900 | 65% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1320 | 1246 | 60% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1119 | 1268 | 30% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 964 | 1020 | 42% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1151 | 1032 | 66% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 1101 | 49% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1079 | 44% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1068 | 51% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 970 | 71% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1154 | 67% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1052 | 890 | 72% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1329 | 10% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1149 | 63% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1079 | 1152 | 40% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
| 941 | 890 | 57% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1122 | 1163 | 44% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1008 | 764 | 80% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1079 | 56% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1036 | 47% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1106 | 58% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1137 | 1100 | 55% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 848 | 998 | 30% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
| 1052 | 907 | 70% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1110 | 78% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1030 | 61% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1044 | 57% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1056.6 vs 1056.5 has a 50.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).