Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1028 | 48% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1054 | 1016 | 55% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 983 | 1127 | 30% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 952 | 1014 | 41% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 918 | 1075 | 29% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
| 1089 | 1030 | 58% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1049 | 70% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1252 | 1015 | 80% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 902 | 941 | 44% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1081 | 1234 | 29% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1252 | 1168 | 62% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
| 1101 | 978 | 67% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 928 | 870 | 58% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 1001 | 53% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 928 | 59% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1052.9 vs 1025 has a 54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).