Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 996 | 56% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 950 | 1009 | 42% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 927 | 1109 | 26% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 1055 | 35% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 879 | 1125 | 20% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 928 | 62% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
| 1116 | 1029 | 62% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1051 | 63% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1310 | 1014 | 85% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 974 | 903 | 60% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 902 | 856 | 57% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 971 | 952 | 53% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1225 | 23% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1310 | 1169 | 69% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
| 952 | 870 | 62% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 979 | 66% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
| 1089 | 1001 | 62% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 952 | 56% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1052.7 vs 1016.1 has a 55.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).