Knife in the Flank
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (17 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2024-04-01 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2024-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 970 | 59% | 2019-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1152 | 59% | 2019-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1091 | 68% | 2019-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2019-06-14 | | Won |
| 970 | 1146 | 27% | 2017-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-11-12 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 970 | 63% | 2012-06-06 | | Lost |
| 956 | 1108 | 29% | 2012-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2012-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1184 | 28% | 2011-11-13 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1065.5 vs 1061.7 has a 50.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).