Knife in the Flank
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 881 | 69% | 2025-02-26 | Lost |
| 1015 | 872 | 69% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 934 | 1052 | 34% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-04-06 | Lost |
| 945 | 982 | 45% | 2019-10-08 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1226 | 49% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1113 | 65% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1172 | 56% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1021 | 51% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2017-11-25 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1007 | 67% | 2012-11-12 | Won |
| 1052 | 1015 | 55% | 2012-07-27 | Lost |
| 1060 | 970 | 63% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 956 | 1107 | 30% | 2012-05-19 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1042 | 58% | 2012-04-22 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1155 | 48% | 2012-04-19 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2011-11-13 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1075.7 vs 1057.9 has a 52.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).