Knife in the Flank
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1123 | 1080 | 56% | 2025-02-26 | Lost |
1011 | 918 | 63% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
922 | 1070 | 30% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
1219 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-04-06 | Lost |
1051 | 983 | 60% | 2019-10-08 | Lost |
1047 | 1226 | 26% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
1219 | 1193 | 54% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1027 | 1082 | 42% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
971 | 1133 | 28% | 2017-11-25 | Lost |
1112 | 1007 | 65% | 2012-11-12 | Won |
1070 | 1015 | 58% | 2012-07-27 | Lost |
1057 | 960 | 64% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
991 | 1106 | 34% | 2012-05-19 | Lost |
1100 | 1042 | 58% | 2012-04-22 | Lost |
1152 | 1148 | 51% | 2012-04-19 | Lost |
998 | 1145 | 30% | 2011-11-13 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1076.5 has a 49.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).