Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 866 | 82% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 1079 | 37% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1162 | 1001 | 72% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1037 | 927 | 65% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1057 | 42% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1083 | 826 | 81% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 993 | 890 | 64% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1218 | 1095 | 67% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2015-09-16 | Lost |
| 1065 | 866 | 76% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | 2014-01-03 | Won |
| 876 | 1060 | 26% | 2013-08-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 876 | 74% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 1156 | 951 | 76% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 1065 | 866 | 76% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
| 1020 | 1071 | 43% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 969 | 1043 | 40% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1203 | 1251 | 43% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2012-09-19 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1251 | 31% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1128 | 33% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1056 | 72% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1120 | 62% | 2011-12-30 | Lost |
| 884 | 1000 | 34% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1012.7 has a 58.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).