Crossfire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (30 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (German): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-06-15 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1187 | 31% | 2024-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2022-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 989 | 62% | 2022-05-21 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2021-11-16 | | Won |
| 940 | 1037 | 36% | 2021-11-16 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1126 | 34% | 2021-09-11 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1018 | 68% | 2021-04-12 | | Won |
| 967 | 1242 | 17% | 2016-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1045 | 67% | 2016-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-07-11 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1007 | 57% | 2015-10-23 | | Tied |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2015-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1038 | 49% | 2015-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2013-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-12-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2013-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2013-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2012-10-27 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1147 | 60% | 2012-09-23 | | Won |
| 959 | 1055 | 37% | 2012-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1099 | 57% | 2012-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 966 | 67% | 2012-04-20 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1141 | 51% | 2012-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 920 | 61% | 2012-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1120 | 51% | 2012-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 907 | 64% | 2012-02-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1056.7 has a 48.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).