Rude Mood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (24 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 58
Defender wins (German): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2020-12-10 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-11-07 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1023 | 38% | 2020-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2020-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2020-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-07-03 | | Won |
| 1103 | 918 | 74% | 2015-06-13 | | Lost |
| 983 | 975 | 51% | 2015-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 981 | 56% | 2014-08-23 | | Won |
| 1001 | 692 | 86% | 2014-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-11-07 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2013-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2012-07-14 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1031 | 75% | 2012-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1140 | 50% | 2012-04-12 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1019 | 60% | 2012-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 968 | 59% | 2012-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 968 | 59% | 2012-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 968 | 59% | 2012-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2012-02-20 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1045 | 64% | 2012-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1109 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-01-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 988.9 has a 60.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).