Coriano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (Canadian): 15
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 975 | 69% | 2023-07-19 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2023-06-01 | Lost |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2023-06-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 910 | 86% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 875 | 1106 | 21% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1091 | 52% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 937 | 1137 | 24% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1248 | 985 | 82% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
| 1079 | 959 | 67% | 2015-05-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 1089 | 46% | 2015-05-17 | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2015-04-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2015-02-27 | Won |
| 1025 | 1066 | 44% | 2014-11-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 1154 | 45% | 2014-04-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1228 | 32% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1412 | 36% | 2013-06-15 | Tied |
| 1310 | 1178 | 68% | 2013-06-14 | Won |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2013-06-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 1074 | 53% | 2013-04-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1009 | 64% | 2013-02-09 | Lost |
| 928 | 1018 | 37% | 2012-11-07 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2012-06-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 1098 | 37% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2012-04-14 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1086.3 vs 1070.4 has a 52.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).