Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 989 | 56% | 2025-10-24 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1010 | 82% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 1268 | 1010 | 82% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-12-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
| 913 | 913 | 50% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 1002 | 55% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1190 | 54% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1216 | 1194 | 53% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1091 | 1138 | 43% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 879 | 1077 | 24% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1046 | 55% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1038 | 994 | 56% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1029 | 53% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1149 | 1074 | 61% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1145 | 45% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1029 | 52% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1124 | 1100 | 53% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 917 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1169 | 32% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1073 | 50% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 886 | 767 | 66% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1020 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1032 has a 54.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).