HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (22 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1118 | 57% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 740 | 1087 | 12% | 2024-05-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1124 | 35% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1221 | 38% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1087 | 68% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 846 | 1221 | 10% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1128 | 858 | 83% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 1221 | 1085 | 69% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
| 1146 | 912 | 79% | 2016-11-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 1060 | 57% | 2015-01-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 1203 | 54% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1039 | 890 | 70% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
| 852 | 907 | 42% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 852 | 1152 | 15% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
| 1107 | 943 | 72% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 992 | 1064 | 40% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-02-12 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1053.6 has a 46.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).