HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (22 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 1050 | 67% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 754 | 1058 | 15% | 2024-05-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1125 | 35% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1219 | 38% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1058 | 72% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 878 | 1219 | 12% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1133 | 858 | 83% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 1219 | 1103 | 66% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
| 1142 | 898 | 80% | 2016-11-22 | Won |
| 1124 | 1065 | 58% | 2015-01-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 1201 | 54% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1063 | 881 | 74% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
| 875 | 907 | 45% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 875 | 1152 | 17% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
| 1106 | 946 | 72% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 990 | 940 | 57% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-02-12 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1040.9 has a 50.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).