HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (22 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1062 | 51% | 2025-05-08 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1088 | 9% | 2024-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-06-27 | | Won |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2021-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2021-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1088 | 68% | 2020-01-04 | | Lost |
| 909 | 1218 | 14% | 2019-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2019-01-08 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1086 | 68% | 2018-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1204 | 901 | 85% | 2016-11-22 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1133 | 52% | 2015-01-27 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-12-19 | | Won |
| 1074 | 876 | 76% | 2014-12-19 | | Lost |
| 847 | 1000 | 29% | 2012-10-04 | | Lost |
| 847 | 1141 | 16% | 2012-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2012-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-07-31 | | Won |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2012-03-07 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-02-12 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2012-01-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.4 vs 1035.3 has a 50.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).