Return of the Black Company
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 35
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1055 | 1062 | 49% | 2025-02-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 990 | 66% | 2025-01-14 | Won |
| 891 | 886 | 51% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 927 | 1100 | 27% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 962 | 57% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1221 | 38% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 1193 | 870 | 87% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1128 | 858 | 83% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1124 | 1176 | 43% | 2018-10-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
| 1039 | 988 | 57% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-09-08 | Won |
| 949 | 894 | 58% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1221 | 20% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1194 | 39% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1037 | 1147 | 35% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1042 has a 51.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).