Pearl of the Danube
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1214 | 26% | 2020-10-20 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1076 | 69% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 878 | 764 | 66% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1189 | 969 | 78% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1050 | 881 | 73% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 1037 | 61% | 2014-12-18 | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1086.5 vs 996.4 has a 62.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).