Pearl of the Danube
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 965 | 1216 | 19% | 2020-10-20 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
| 1217 | 983 | 79% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 879 | 1021 | 31% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1102 | 987 | 66% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1074 | 875 | 76% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 846 | 1038 | 25% | 2014-12-18 | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1024.5 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).