Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1027 | 36% | 2017-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 893 | 67% | 2016-05-23 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2012-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1059 | 84% | 2012-05-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1165 | 28% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1226 | 24% | 2012-04-10 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1077.1 has a 46.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).