Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1017 | 38% | 2017-01-27 | Lost |
| 1048 | 893 | 71% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
| 1031 | 1045 | 48% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1060 | 84% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
| 989 | 934 | 58% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1204 | 1203 | 50% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1049 | 1245 | 24% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1085 vs 1056.7 has a 54.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).