Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 14
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
935 | 967 | 45% | 2017-01-27 | Lost |
992 | 889 | 64% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
1083 | 1089 | 49% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
951 | 987 | 45% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
1203 | 1327 | 33% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1011.3 vs 1030.7 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).