Green Berets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (17 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1264 | 28% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1066 | 852 | 77% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1219 | 1154 | 59% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 1219 | 1248 | 46% | 2021-11-25 | Won |
| 1170 | 996 | 73% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 1028 | 47% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1248 | 59% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 994 | 959 | 55% | 2018-02-04 | Lost |
| 842 | 1219 | 10% | 2016-08-18 | Lost |
| 861 | 1058 | 24% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1012 | 949 | 59% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2013-06-07 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1076.3 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).