Third Time's The Charm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2021-02-25 | Won |
| 1005 | 986 | 53% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 938 | 1257 | 14% | 2015-03-02 | Lost |
| 1025 | 949 | 61% | 2012-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 979.5 vs 1069 has a 37.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).