Third Time's The Charm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (4 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1050 | 42% | 2021-02-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2017-03-05 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1291 | 12% | 2015-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1101 | 40% | 2012-09-21 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 991.8 vs 1107.3 has a 33.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).