Hollis of the Howards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 871 | 1015 | 30% | 2025-10-04 | Won |
| 967 | 1019 | 43% | 2025-05-10 | Won |
| 1184 | 1131 | 58% | 2025-03-04 | Tied |
| 1220 | 1228 | 49% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-12-07 | Won |
| 1042 | 904 | 69% | 2014-06-07 | Won |
| 981 | 1101 | 33% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1059.4 has a 51.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).