By Fire and Flame
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-09-05 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2025-01-30 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1030 | 62% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1087 | 38% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 901 | 1165 | 18% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1076 | 994 | 62% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 1196 | 1219 | 47% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
| 698 | 989 | 16% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2013-11-11 | Won |
| 1092 | 1182 | 37% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 918 | 1094 | 27% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1010.1 vs 1092.7 has a 38.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).