By Fire and Flame
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (11 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2025-09-05 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | 2025-01-30 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1030 | 56% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 1017 | 937 | 61% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 898 | 1142 | 20% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1333 | 32% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
| 754 | 978 | 22% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2013-11-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1254 | 28% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 917 | 1028 | 35% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1018.3 vs 1080.5 has a 41.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).