Makela's End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 15
Defender wins (Republican): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 872 | 1203 | 13% | 2023-09-14 | Won |
| 1185 | 1156 | 54% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 967 | 1115 | 30% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1057 | 982 | 61% | 2016-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1203 | 28% | 2015-05-20 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1051 | 54% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1065 | 68% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 831 | 927 | 37% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 882 | 1152 | 17% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 1050 | 919 | 68% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1106 | 927 | 74% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1048.7 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).