Red Banner Days
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 884 | 853 | 54% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2018-09-27 | Won |
| 1088 | 1306 | 22% | 2015-08-10 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1047 | 82% | 2014-03-09 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2013-05-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.7 vs 1043.7 has a 50.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).