Red Banner Days
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 953 | 854 | 64% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2018-09-27 | Won |
| 1091 | 1292 | 24% | 2015-08-10 | Lost |
| 1292 | 984 | 85% | 2014-03-09 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2013-05-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1045.6 has a 53.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).