The Bet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Norwegian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1079 | 1248 | 27% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1339 | 1219 | 67% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1089 | 38% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1106 | 889 | 78% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1058 | 29% | 2015-05-16 | Lost |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
| 980 | 1047 | 40% | 2014-02-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1004 | 54% | 2014-02-08 | Won |
| 1089 | 844 | 80% | 2013-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1049.3 has a 50.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).