Severnaya Serenade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1086 | 48% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 956 | 767 | 75% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1136 | 1152 | 48% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1170 | 25% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2013-06-20 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1074.8 vs 1037.2 has a 55.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).