A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (18 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Polish): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
| 930 | 935 | 49% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1037 | 982 | 58% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 933 | 50% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-03-13 | Won |
| 999 | 1092 | 37% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 859 | 1020 | 28% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1289 | 919 | 89% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 1123 | 962 | 72% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 920 | 1110 | 25% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1066 | 54% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1077 | 51% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
| 1037 | 959 | 61% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 1019 | 41% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1049 | 1019 | 54% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1019.1 vs 1002.5 has a 52.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).